India’s Gold Market Shifts Gears as Prices Redefine Demand

India’s gold demand fell in volume but surged in value in 2025 as record prices reshaped buying behaviour. Jewellery softened, while investment demand emerged as the market’s strongest driver.
India’s Gold Market Shifts Gears as Prices Redefine Demand
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India’s gold market in 2025 told a story of contrast. While overall demand softened in volume terms, soaring gold prices pushed the total value of consumption sharply higher, underscoring a fundamental shift in how Indian buyers are engaging with the metal.

According to World Gold Council data, India’s total gold demand for calendar year 2025 declined 11% to 710.9 tonnes. Yet, in value terms, demand surged 30% to ₹7.51 lakh crore, driven almost entirely by record-breaking gold prices.

Jewellery demand bore the brunt of the price rally. Volumes fell steeply by 24% year-on-year to 430.5 tonnes, reflecting affordability pressures even during key buying periods. Despite lower volumes, the value of jewellery purchases rose 12% to ₹4.54 lakh crore, highlighting how higher prices reshaped spending patterns rather than eliminating demand altogether.

Investment demand, however, emerged as the clear outperformer. Volumes increased 17% to 280.4 tonnes, while the value of investment demand jumped a striking 73% to ₹2.97 lakh crore. This shift points to a growing preference for gold as a financial asset rather than purely a consumption-driven purchase.

The divergence became more pronounced in the final quarter of the year. In Q4 2025, total gold demand declined 9% year-on-year to 241.3 tonnes. Yet, the value of demand climbed nearly 50% to ₹3.03 lakh crore. Jewellery volumes dropped 23% to 145.3 tonnes, even as their value rose 26%, reflecting cautious buying amid elevated prices during the wedding season.

Investment demand strengthened further in the quarter, rising 26% by volume to 96 tonnes. In value terms, investment spending more than doubled to ₹1.21 lakh crore, signalling a decisive tilt towards gold as a portfolio hedge amid global uncertainty.

On the supply side, gold imports moderated, falling 5% year-on-year in Q4 to 215.1 tonnes. Recycling activity declined even more sharply, down 27% to 21.7 tonnes, suggesting that consumers chose to hold on to their gold despite favourable prices—reinforcing its role as a long-term store of value.

Looking ahead, the World Gold Council expects India’s gold demand in 2026 to range between 600 and 700 tonnes. Investment-led demand is likely to remain resilient, supported by continued interest in ETFs, digital gold, and gold’s positioning as a defensive asset in volatile markets.

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